当地杀人事件在美国各县增加了自杀率.
Daniel C Semenza1, Christopher Thomas2, Richard Stansfield2
1Department of Sociology, Anthropology, and Criminal Justice, Rutgers University, Camden, NJ, USA; Department of Urban-Global Public Health, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA; New Jersey Gun Violence Research Center, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA.
Social science & medicine (1982)
|September 11, 2025
概括
较高的谋杀率预测了自杀率的增加,特别是与枪支有关的自杀率. 这种联系在农村地区和白人人口中更为强烈,突出显示了减少暴力和预防自杀的综合战略的需要.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 自杀是美国的主要死亡原因,在过去二十年里,自杀率一直在上升.
- 现有的研究表明,人际暴力暴露与自杀风险之间存在联系.
- 只有少数使用纵向,准实验数据的宏观水平研究存在于这种关系中.
研究的目的:
- 分析美国县级谋杀和自杀率之间的纵向关系.
- 通过种族,枪支参与和城市化来检查这种关系的变化.
- 应用先进的计量经济学方法来解决内源性和反向因果关系.
主要方法:
- 采用了一种准实验性的系统通用时刻方法 (GMM) 方法.
- 分析了1968年至2019年的162,472个县年度观测结果.
- 数据来源于CDC WONDER数据库和国家历史地理信息系统.
主要成果:
- 增加的谋杀率预测了一年后自杀率的随后增加.
- 总谋杀率上升1个单位与总自杀率上升0.493个单位相关.
- 凶杀与自杀的联系在与枪支有关的死亡事件中更为明显,在农村地区和白人人口中.
结论:
- 人际暴力 (杀人) 和自我暴力 (自杀) 相互关联.
- 预防自杀的努力应整合社区范围内的减少暴力的战略.
- 调查结果强调了考虑到人口和地理因素的有针对性的干预措施的必要性.
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