偶发的未来思维是否有效地减轻时间偏好对时间权衡的影响?
Zhongyu Lang1,2, Liying Zhang3,4, Stefan A Lipman3,4
1Erasmus School of Health Policy & Management, Erasmus University, P.O. Box 1738, 3000 DR, Rotterdam, the Netherlands. zhongyu.lang@eshpm.eur.nl.
概括
情节性未来思维 (EFT) 并没有减少复合时间权衡 (cTTO) 公用事业的时间偏好偏差. 这种预先的方法显示效果可以忽略不计,这表明需要采用替代策略来改进卫生公用事业测量.
科学领域:
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
背景情况:
- 对未来生命年的时间偏好可能会偏向复合时间权衡 (cTTO) 实用事业.
- 现有的方法往往会对这种偏差进行后期调整.
- 这项研究探讨了使用插曲式未来思维 (EFT) 的前期方法.
研究的目的:
- 调查EFT对时间偏好的影响.
- 与替代方法相比,评估EFT对cTTO公用事业的影响.
- 确定EFT是否可以提前防止时间偏好扭曲.
主要方法:
- 150名英国普通公众参与者被招募进行在线采访.
- 参与者被随机分配到情节性近期思维 (ERT) 控制组或EFT治疗组.
- 两组都对EQ-5D-5L健康状况执行了cTTO任务,并进行了时间偏好测量.
主要成果:
- 时间偏好模式在各组中是相似的,大多数参与者表现出积极的折扣.
- EFT并没有显著改变时间偏好.
- 在cTTO公用事业中,EFT缓解和事后调整之间的差异很小.
结论:
- EFT似乎没有减轻对生命年龄的时间偏好.
- EFT对cTTO公用事业的影响微不足道.
- 需要采取替代策略,以减少卫生效用评估中的偏见.
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