使用地理信息系统识别毛里求斯登革热爆发的驱动因素
Smita Goorah1, Manta Nowbuth1, Mahendra Gooroochurn1
1Faculty of Engineering, University of Mauritius, Reduit, Mauritius.
Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)
|September 12, 2025
概括
靠近河流显著增加了毛里求斯的登革热风险,而更高的社会经济地位减少了它. 识别这些脆弱区域可以针对蚊子传播的疾病进行有针对性的公共卫生干预.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 在全球范围内,蚊子传播的疾病对公众健康构成重大风险.
- 气候变化,城市化和全球旅行等因素增加了疾病传播.
- 毛里求斯在地理上很容易受到这种疫情的袭击,尤其是登革热.
研究的目的:
- 确定毛里求斯登革热传播的主要驱动因素.
- 使用地理空间工具绘制易受登革热爆发的地区的地图.
- 为预防疾病的公共卫生战略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 使用的是地理信息系统 (GIS) 软件 (QGIS 3.12).
- 根据市区 (MW) 和村议会区域 (VCA) 分析了登革热病例.
- 多重回归分析将登革热发病率与降雨量,温度,相对发展指数 (RDI),人口密度和靠近河流相关联.
主要成果:
- 在房屋靠近河流和登革热发病率之间发现了显著的正相关性 (p=0.03).
- 观察到相对发展指数 (RDI) 和登革热发病率 (p=0.01) 之间存在显著的负相关性.
- 地理空间分析确定了岛上特定的脆弱区域.
结论:
- 房屋靠近河流和社会经济地位 (RDI) 是毛里求斯登革热发病率的重要预测因素.
- 地理空间绘制有效地识别出登革热高风险地区.
- 这些发现使得有针对性的,预防性的公共卫生措施能够减轻蚊子传播疾病的爆发.
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