格陵兰冰盖的流失减少,因为融水在赤裸的冰中重新结
Matthew G Cooper1,2, Laurence C Smith3,4, Åsa K Rennermalm5
1Department of Geography, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA. matt@sierracrestanalytics.com.
Nature communications
|September 12, 2025
概括
格陵兰冰盖融化后的流水被气候模型低估了. 在裸露的冰川冰中重新结会显著减少到达海洋的融水,影响海平面上升预测.
科学领域:
- 冰川学的冰川学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 海平面上升研究研究
背景情况:
- 格陵兰冰盖融化后的水流量加速了全球海平面上升.
- 气候模型往往高估了赤裸冰消融区的下水.
- 目前的模型假设裸冰流水直接进入海洋,与多孔火山不同.
研究的目的:
- 调查格陵兰岛赤裸的冰川冰中融水的保留和重新结.
- 量化裸冰重新结对冲流估计的影响.
- 为了提高气候模型的准确性,以预测海平面上升.
主要方法:
- 在赤裸的冰川冰上对融水过程的现场测量.
- 数字建模以模拟排水和重新结.
- 从格陵兰西南部 (2009-2018) 的数据分析.
主要成果:
- 在裸露的冰川冰中发生了大量的融水保留和重新结.
- 在格陵兰西南部 (2009-2018) 的重新结减少了估计的11-17 Gt a-1的排水量.
- 这意味着该地区模拟的每年融化水流量减少了9-15%.
结论:
- 气候模型高估了赤裸的冰流量,因为忽视了重新结过程.
- 裸冰的融水保留作用作为一个被忽视的缓冲对增加的流水.
- 纳入这些过程将增强冰盖流失和海平面上升预测.
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