紧急手术得分作为非创伤性紧急拉皮切除术术术后结果的预测:一项前性观察性研究
Sudhir K Singh1, Sanjay Katragadda1, Summi Karn1
1General Surgery, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Rishikesh, Rishikesh, IND.
Cureus
|September 16, 2025
概括
紧急手术得分 (ESS) 有效地预测了紧急腹腔切除术患者的结果. 这一分数有助于预测住院,死亡率和并发症,改善患者咨询和决策.
科学领域:
- 手术结果研究研究.
- 紧急医疗 紧急医疗
- 在外科手术中进行预测分析.
背景情况:
- 紧急腹腔切除术是急性腹部疾病患者的高风险手术.
- 预测手术结果对于优化患者管理和手术前咨询至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估紧急手术得分 (ESS) 以预测非创伤性紧急腹腔切除术的结果.
- 评估ESS和术后结果之间的相关性.
主要方法:
- 一项前性观察性研究,包括163名接受非创伤性紧急腹腔切除术的成年患者.
- 记录ESS的变量和分析的手术结果:住院,ICU住院,30天死亡率,并发症和再入院.
- 利用接收器操作特征 (ROC) 分析来评估预测准确性.
主要成果:
- 在幸存者中,ESS与住院时间 (rho=0.51) 和ICU停留时间 (rho=0.53) 有正相关性.
- 每增加1个单位的ESS预测住院时间增加1.8天,住院时间增加0.71天.
- 对于30天死亡率 (AUROC=0.895) 和并发症 (AUROC=0.875),ESS显示出强大的预测能力.
结论:
- 紧急手术得分 (ESS) 是预测急诊腹腔切除术术术后结果的一个有价值的工具.
- 通过提供客观的结果预测,ESS可以增强手术前患者咨询和共享决策.
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