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诊断地球的临界点:我们在人类世的位置
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany.
Frontiers in public health
|September 17, 2025
概括
人类和地球的健康是相互关联的. 九个行星边界中有六个被破坏,冒着不可逆转的临界点的风险,并威胁到人类文明和可持续发展目标至关重要的稳定地球系统.
科学领域:
- 集成复杂的适应系统,地球系统科学,气候科学,公共卫生和可持续性科学.
背景情况:
- 人类和地球的健康在复杂的适应性系统中相互联系.
- 人类产生的压力正在破坏地球系统的稳定,九个行星边界中的六个已经被侵犯了.
- 对文明至关重要的全新纪气候稳定性受到威胁,增加了不可逆转的临界点的风险.
研究的目的:
- 为了突出地球系统由于人为压力而导致的不稳定.
- 强调跨气候,健康和可持续性科学采取综合行动的关键需求.
- 引入行星健康检查作为评估地球状况的工具.
主要方法:
- 从2024年维尔乔讲座中改编的视角作品.
- 对有关行星边界和地球系统反的科学证据的分析.
- 呼吁采取综合行动,并引入年度评估工具.
主要成果:
- 九个行星边界中有六个已经被越过,这表明了临界点的高风险.
- 生物圈的气候调节能力受到严重威胁,危及生态弹性.
- 即使在2050年前实现完全脱碳,也可能无法避免在没有自然恢复的情况下出现系统性崩.
结论:
- 星球健康是人类福祉,正义和实现联合国可持续发展目标的基础.
- 需要采取紧急行动来恢复和保护自然及其碳汇,以保持人类的安全操作空间.
- 像行星健康检查这样的综合方法和工具对于向繁荣的未来导航至关重要.
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