[时间空间模式,区域差异和黄河流域低碳经济转型的动态演变]
Wei-Zhi Zhang1, Xue-Gang Chen2
1Business School, Xinjiang Normal University, Urumqi 830017, China.
Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue
|September 17, 2025
概括
中国黄河流域的低碳经济转型显示出整体改善,两极分化加剧,空间差异减少. 这种过渡显示了俱乐部的融合和显著的空间溢出效应.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 区域发展 区域发展
- 可持续的转型 可持续的转型
背景情况:
- 低碳经济转型对于中国的生态文明和碳中和目标至关重要.
- 黄河流域是中国生态和经济发展的关键地区.
研究的目的:
- 测量和分析2010年至2021年黄河流域低碳经济转型的时空模式和区域差异.
- 探索动态进化特征和影响这种转变的因素.
主要方法:
- 度重量-TOPSIS方法用于测量低碳经济转型的程度.
- 核心密度,达格姆吉尼系数,空间自相关性和空间马尔科夫链分析用于探索时空模式和差异.
主要成果:
- 低碳经济转型的整体改善,平均年增长率为4.9%,显示出"中期,上游和下游"模式和两极分化.
- 空间差异的逐渐减少,其中超变密度是主要来源 (53.5%的贡献).
- 显著的正空间相关性,由高高聚合物主导,随着低低聚合物的消失和多样化的变量类型.
结论:
- 黄河流域的低碳经济转型显示出"俱乐部收"的趋势,带有上升的转变和显著的空间溢出效应.
- 区域差异正在减少,但两极化和聚合动态需要注意.
- 政策干预应考虑空间依赖和区域特点,以实现有效的低碳发展.
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