[深其他传染性腹的时间分布特征,2011-2023年]
1Division of Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen 518055, China.
Zhonghua liu xing bing xue za zhi = Zhonghua liuxingbingxue zazhi
|September 18, 2025
概括
深的其他传染性腹 (OID) 呈现冬季高峰和季节性,自2018年以来强度下降. 持续监测和适应性控制措施对于管理OID爆发至关重要.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 传染病的动态传染病的动态.
背景情况:
- 其他传染性腹 (OID) 构成了重大的公共卫生挑战.
- 了解OID的时间模式对于有效的控制策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析2011年至2023年深OID的时间分布和发病率趋势.
- 为OID预防和控制措施提供数据驱动的证据.
主要方法:
- 收集了深 (2011-2023) 的OID发病率数据.
- 使用Loess (STL),季节性指数,度度和循环分布方法的应用季节性和趋势分解.
- 分析了发病率趋势和时间分布模式.
主要成果:
- 报告的OID病例为477,611,具有波动的上升趋势,平均年发病率为260.19/100,000.
- 确定了从10月到1月的高发病期,在冬季达到顶峰,尽管2020年之后季节性强度下降.
- 循环分布分析表明,1月1日左右的峰值发病率和8月11日至5月25日的广泛高发病率时期.
结论:
- 在深,OID表现出季节性,特别是在冬季的高峰期.
- 自2018年以来季节性强度的下降需要持续的监测,预警系统和风险评估.
- 及时调整预防和控制措施至关重要,以适应不断变化的OID流行病特征.
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