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预防还是救济? 选民对灾难政策的支持
H Hana Kim1, James Cragun1, Peter DeScioli1
1Department of Political Science, Stony Brook University, United States.
Disasters
|September 19, 2025
概括
选民并不本质上倾向于救灾而不是预防. 公众对灾害政策的支持取决于公民的合作,而当公民不合作时,预防是最好的.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 灾害管理 灾害管理
- 公共政策 公共政策
背景情况:
- 预防灾害往往比救援更有效.
- 之前的研究表明,选民对政治人物的救济政策比预防政策更多地给予奖励.
- 目前尚不清楚这种偏好是否源于真正的支持或对救援工作的更大认识.
研究的目的:
- 调查公众对救灾的支持与预防政策.
- 检查公民合作对政策偏好的影响.
- 挑战选民本质上更喜欢救灾的假设.
主要方法:
- 对美国参与者进行了一项实验.
- 参与者评价了他们对虚构的灾难政策 (洪水威胁) 的支持.
- 操纵的关键变量包括政策类型 (救济与预防) 和公民合作 (合作与不合作).
主要成果:
- 参与者并没有显示他们更喜欢救济而不是预防政策.
- 当公民被描述为不合作时,预防政策受到青.
- 与合作的公民相比,不合作的公民对救济政策的支持较低.
- 公民的合作性并没有显著影响对预防政策的支持.
结论:
- 公众对灾害政策的看法是微妙的,并且取决于背景.
- 公民行为,特别是与政府倡议的合作,显著影响了对救灾和防灾的支持.
- 调查结果表明,选民的偏好可能比以前认为的更复杂,根据感知到的公民责任而改变.
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