"快速"效应的民间传说 - - 医学研究和临床实践的教训
James M Smoliga1, Kathryn E Sawyer1
1Tufts University School of Medicine, Department of Rehabilitation Sciences, Boston, Massachusetts.
PloS one
|September 19, 2025
概括
对于国家足球联盟 (NFL) 球员特拉维斯·凯尔斯和堪萨斯城首领的"Swift效应"缺乏强有力的证据. 统计分析显示,泰勒·斯威夫特的比赛出席对表现或球队胜利没有重大影响.
科学领域:
- 运动分析 运动分析
- 科学方法科学方法学
- 媒体研究 媒体研究
背景情况:
- 媒体叙述往往将因果关系归因于名人参加体育赛事的存在,体现在美国.
研究的目的:
- 为了正式分析所谓的行为.
主要方法:
- 准实验性研究使用共变量匹配.
- 线性混合效果模型来评估特拉维斯·凯尔斯的表现相对于基于泰勒·斯威夫特的出席率的历史数据.
- 二元逻辑回归来评估斯威夫特的存在对堪萨斯城首领队比赛结果的影响.
主要成果:
- 在泰勒·斯威夫特参加比赛 (n=13) 和匹配的斯威夫特前比赛相比,在特拉维斯·凯尔斯的码数中没有发现统计学上显著的差异.
- 没有Swift (n=6) 的Kelce性能潜在下降在不同的匹配算法中缺乏一致的统计意义.
- 泰勒·斯威夫特的出席并没有显著增加堪萨斯城首领的胜利概率.
结论:
- 这是一个很棒的节目,这是一个很棒的节目.
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