印度尼西亚正朝着净零排放经济迈进
Sheng Zhong1, Bin Su2, Junyi He1
1Energy Studies Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
The Science of the total environment
|September 20, 2025
概括
尽管能源需求不断增长,但印度尼西亚可以在2060年前实现其净零排放目标. 关键战略包括向可再生能源过渡,提高效率,并利用碳捕获来实现可持续的能源未来.
科学领域:
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 印度尼西亚是全球主要的二氧化碳排放国,能源部门对化石燃料的依赖给可持续发展带来了挑战.
- 印度尼西亚的社会经济发展前景需要从化石燃料主导的能源组合转变.
- 该国已经制定了能源目标,目标是到2060年实现净零排放.
研究的目的:
- 使用LEAP (远程能源替代方案规划) 软件建模印度尼西亚的能源系统.
- 调查与印尼气候目标相一致的潜在能源配置和排放轨迹.
- 分析到2060年实现净零排放的可行性.
主要方法:
- 开发和分析四种不同的场景:通常情况 (BAU),当前政策场景 (CPS),可再生能源增强 (REE) 和净零排放 (NZE).
- 利用LEAP模型模拟不同政策框架下的能源消耗和排放.
- 量化关键缓解策略的影响.
主要成果:
- 印度尼西亚的最终能源消耗可能在2060年比2018年的水平增加多达375%.
- 到2060年实现全经济净零排放的目标被证明是可以实现的.
- 来自可再生能源转型,电气化,能源效率和碳捕获和储存 (CCS) 的重大贡献被量化.
结论:
- 通过战略能源规划和政策实施,可以实现印度尼西亚的净零排放目标.
- 脱碳路径需要在采用更清洁的能源技术和提高能源效率方面采取协调一致的努力.
- 讨论了印度尼西亚能源转型和气候缓解的政策影响,强调了需要采取支持性措施的必要性.
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