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了解墨西哥城失踪事件:一个数据驱动的分析
Daniel Aguilar-Velázquez1,2, Ruben Calvario Peréz2, Carlos Mondragón Mendoza2
1Instituto de Física, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad de México, México.
PloS one
|September 23, 2025
概括
墨西哥城的失踪人数不断增加,其中受影响最严重的地区是中央区. 年轻女性和低收入地区的脆弱性更高,与犯罪和社会经济因素有关.
科学领域:
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 城市研究 城市研究
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 墨西哥面临着越来越多的暴力和失踪危机.
- 关于受害者的个人资料,地理模式和社会经济联系的关键数据仍然很少.
研究的目的:
- 分析墨西哥城失踪人员现象.
- 确定受害者的个人资料,地理热点,以及与社会经济因素和公共安全的相关性.
主要方法:
- 利用了墨西哥城政府数据库中的3450起失踪事件.
- 整合了抓取的数据和应用K-means集群来整合各种数据集.
- 分析了失踪,流动性,房价,毒品交易和感知不安全之间的相关性.
主要成果:
- 失踪事件集中在中央区,与工作相关的流动性有关.
- 年轻女性 (15-19岁) 是最脆弱的群体;男性占失踪者的62.5%.
- 在失踪和毒品交易之间发现了强烈的相关性 (r=0.95),在正常化移动后与住房价格 (r=-0.7) 有负相关性,表明社会经济隔离.
- 根据K-means集群,墨西哥城东侧的失踪脆弱性更高.
结论:
- 墨西哥城的失踪事件呈现出明显的地理和人口统计模式.
- 社会经济隔离和有组织犯罪似乎是造成这一问题的重要因素.
- 东部地区被确定为需要集中注意力进行公共安全干预的地区.
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