爆发mopox的全球空间聚类:2022年至2024年的地理空间分析
Esra Pamukçu1, Tuba Bayir2, Serhat Uysal3
1Science Faculty, Department of Statistics, Fırat University, Elazig, Turkey.
International journal of environmental health research
|September 23, 2025
概括
马普克斯病例显示出全球有显著的集群,特别是在美洲和欧洲. 地理空间分析确定了高风险地区,这对于有针对性的mopox干预和了解疾病传播至关重要.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 地理空间健康分析
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 马波克斯 (原名麻疹) 疫情给全球健康带来了挑战.
- 了解mopox的空间动态对于有效的控制策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析从2022年1月到2024年9月的mopox病例的全球空间分布和聚类.
- 通过使用地理空间方法确定mopox传播的高风险地区.
主要方法:
- 对世卫组织确认的mopox病例进行了回顾性空间流行病学分析.
- 利用地理信息系统 (GIS) 进行空间可视化.
- 应用莫兰的I和局部空间关联指标 (LISA) 进行空间自相对应分析.
主要成果:
- 在2022年和2024年观察到mopox病例的显著正空间自相关性.
- 在美洲和欧洲 (2022年),北美和亚洲 (2023年) 和北美 (2024年) 识别高高集群.
- 美国,中国和刚果民主共和国被确定为高负担国家.
结论:
- 空间流行病学方法对于了解全球POPOX传播至关重要.
- 地理空间分析有助于在确定高风险地区规划快速干预.
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