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生物能源和太阳能发展的两阶段顺序优化框架

Chih-Chun Kung¹, Juan Li², Shan-Shan Kung³

¹Institute for Interdisciplinary Research, Shandong University, Weihai 264209, China.

|September 24, 2025

概括

台湾面临能源不安全,促使可再生能源的发展. 这项研究优化了生物能源和太阳能能源的整合,揭示了潜在的能源收益,但强调了农业电力发电的土地利用挑战.

科学领域:

能源政策能源政策
农业科学农业科学
环境工程环境工程

背景情况:

台湾进口了大部分能源,导致了严重的能源不安全.
生物能源开发的缓慢增长需要探索替代可再生能源.
政府的举措重点是通过可再生能源使能源投资组合多样化.

研究的目的:

为整合农业,生物能源和太阳能能源部门制定两阶段优化框架.
评估生物能源发展对土地利用变化和区域太阳能能源容量的影响.
评估农电项目在台湾能源领域的潜力.

主要方法:

采用了一个两阶段的顺序优化框架.
第一个阶段优化了农业和生物能源部门的社会福利.
第二阶段包括土地利用变化,以检查区域太阳能能源容量.

主要成果:

据估计,生物能源的产量在5,816至1,640千兆瓦时之间,生物燃料的产量在490万至50.4亿升之间.
生物能源的排放抵消范围在0.35至349万之间,受排放价格和技术转型的影响.
太阳能潜力为811至1041千兆瓦时,抵消高达1130万的排放.
农电项目每年可以产生多达6855千兆瓦时的集体产量.

结论:

整合生物能源和太阳能是加强台湾能源安全的可行战略.
由于生物能源开发而导致的土地利用转移对太阳能计划的长期可持续性构成重大挑战.
农业电压系统提供了大量的能源发电潜力,但需要仔细管理土地利用.

关键词:

应用科学应用科学能源建模能源建模能源系统能源系统

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