相关实验视频
使用深度学习预测北印度具有挑战性的气候条件的温度和降雨量
Syed Nisar Hussain Bukhari1, Kingsley A Ogudo2
1National Institute of Electronics and Information Technology (NIELIT), Srinagar, J&K, India.
PeerJ. Computer science
|September 24, 2025
概括
准确的温度和降雨 (T&R) 预测对北印度至关重要. 使用重复神经网络 (RNN) 的深度学习框架在精确,本地化的天气预报方面表现优于长期短期记忆 (LSTM).
科学领域:
- 气象学和气候学
- 人工智能的人工智能
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 准确的温度和降雨 (T&R) 预报对于北印度等气候敏感地区至关重要.
- 传统的预测方法与计算需求和本地化实时预测作斗争.
- 在高效,局部化的T&R预测中存在一个研究缺口,用于天气不稳定的地区.
研究的目的:
- 开发和评估一个深度学习框架,用于查,克什米尔和拉达克的精确T&R预测.
- 在局部化的时间序列天气数据中捕捉复杂的时间依赖.
- 为了比较循环神经网络 (RNN) 和长期短期记忆 (LSTM) 架构的性能.
主要方法:
- 利用印度气象局 (IMD) 的2000-2023年查,斯里南加和拉达克的数据.
- 用于时间序列预测的重复神经网络 (RNN) 和长期短期记忆 (LSTM).
- 在单输入单输出 (SISO) 和多输入多输出 (MIMO) 配置中评估模型.
主要成果:
- 在SISO设置中,RNN和LSTM都表现出强大的性能.
- 在捕捉时间关系方面,RNN模型始终优于LSTM.
- 在MIMO配置中的RNN在所有站点实现了显著较低的MAE,RMSE和MSE.
结论:
- 该RNN模型在本地化T&R预测方面表现出卓越的精度.
- 这种深度学习框架为实时天气预测提供了一个实用的工具.
- 这些发现有助于改善该地区的气候适应,防灾和可持续发展.
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