劳动力市场机构如何影响汇率制度与经济增长之间的关系
Vytautas Kuokštis1, Muhammad Asali1,2, Simonas Algirdas Spurga1
1Vilnius University, Institute of International Relations and Political Science, Vilnius, Lithuania.
PloS one
|September 24, 2025
概括
固定汇率可以阻碍劳动力市场硬的发展中国家的经济增长,但如果劳动力市场灵活,则可以促进增长. 这一发现取决于所使用的特定劳动力市场灵活性指标.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 国际金融 国际金融
- 劳动经济学 劳动经济学
背景情况:
- 汇率制度与经济增长之间的关系是经济文献中一个复杂而有争议的话题.
- 现有研究尚未就不同汇率体系如何影响长期经济发展达成共识.
研究的目的:
- 研究劳动力市场灵活性在汇率制度与增长关系中的调节作用.
- 提供对汇率政策如何与劳动力市场结构相互作用,以影响发展中国家经济增长的细微了解.
主要方法:
- 利用一个面板数据集,涵盖194个国家,从1970年到2019年.
- 采用计量经济学技术,分析汇率制度与劳动力市场灵活性指标对经济增长的相互作用.
主要成果:
- 在发展中国家,当劳动力市场表现出高度刚性时,被发现固定汇率制度阻碍了经济增长.
- 相反,固定汇率制度与具有高度灵活劳动力市场的发展中国家的经济增长有关.
- 汇率制度,劳动力市场灵活性和增长之间的观察到的关系表明了对所使用的特定劳动力市场灵活性指标的敏感性.
结论:
- 劳动力市场的灵活性是汇率制度对发展中国家经济增长的影响的关键决定因素.
- 关于汇率管理的政策建议应考虑劳动力市场灵活性的现有条件.
- 在研究国际经济现象时,未来的研究应该仔细考虑劳动力市场灵活性指标的测量和覆盖范围.
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