与金矿活动相关的确定性和概率辐射风险在吉比亚尼日尔-尼日利亚边境沿线的一些村庄
Suleiman Bello1, Muyiwa Michael Orosun2,3
1Department of Physics, Umaru Musa Yar'adua University Katsina, Katsina, Nigeria.
Environmental geochemistry and health
|September 26, 2025
概括
黄金开采的放射性风险使用确定性和概率方法进行了评估. 虽然有效剂量在极限之内,但过多的癌症风险凸显了加强辐射安全和监测的必要性.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 核科学 核科学 核科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 金矿开采活动可以释放自然存在的放射性物质 (NORMs).
- 评估对工人和公众的放射性风险对于健康和安全至关重要.
- 之前的研究并没有完全解决尼日尔-尼日利亚边境地区吉比亚地区的风险.
研究的目的:
- 评估在选定的村庄采金相关的放射性风险.
- 为了比较确定性和概率的风险评估方法.
- 为风险减轻策略提供建议.
主要方法:
- 使用高纯度的探测器来测量NORM的特定活动.
- 采用甲骨文水晶球蒙特卡罗模拟来进行概率风险评估.
- 应用RESRAD决定性模拟用于风险评估.
主要成果:
- 估计的年有效剂量 (AED) 范围为90 ± 50μSv/年 (概率) 到240μSv/年 (确定性).
- 计算过剩的终身癌症风险 (ELCR) 为4.5E-4±2E-4 (概率) 和7E-4 (确定性).
- 有效剂量值在国际辐射保护委员会 (ICRP) 的限制范围内.
结论:
- 虽然有效剂量是可以接受的,但癌症风险过高需要降低风险.
- 建议加强采矿场的辐射安全标准.
- 建议提高公众意识和定期环境监测,以减轻长期的健康风险.
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