中国的城市电动汽车超高速充电扭曲了受监管的价格信号,并增加了对电网稳定的风险
Qing Yu1, Pengjun Zhao2,3, Jiaxing Li1
1School of Urban Planning and Design, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.
Nature communications
|September 26, 2025
概括
广泛的电动汽车充电站可能会显著增加电网负载差异. 整合能源存储可能会使峰值需求恶化,需要新的电网管理策略来实现城市能源弹性.
科学领域:
- 电气工程 电气工程
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 能源系统 能源系统
背景情况:
- 电动汽车 (EV) 的快速采用需要广泛的超高速充电基础设施.
- 中国是电动汽车增长和充电站部署的关键地区.
研究的目的:
- 分析超快速充电站部署对城市电网负载的影响.
- 评估储能系统在减轻充电负载波动方面的有效性.
- 在增加的电动汽车采用下,预测未来的电网负载场景.
主要方法:
- 模拟利用来自中国主要城市的现实充电数据.
- 分析充电负载配置文件,使用不同数量的超快速充电站.
- 模拟储能系统对电网负载动态的影响.
主要成果:
- 部署2000个超快速充电站可以将每日峰值-谷地负载差异增加高达31.61%.
- 储能系统,虽然平滑一些波动,但可以加剧短期需求激增.
- 不规范的部署可能会导致大量的峰值负载增加 (到2030年达到70-85%) 和极端的乘法 (到2050年达到7.5倍).
结论:
- 目前的电网管理和市场框架可能不足以进行大规模的电动汽车充电.
- 重新思考战略对于在电动汽车扩张中保持城市能源弹性至关重要.
- 积极的规划对于平衡电动汽车基础设施增长与电网稳定性至关重要.
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