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预期后悔可以促进理性吗? 预期后悔对风险厌恶和选择满意度的影响
Jing Liu1,2, Haiyan Liu1,2
1School of Psychology, Hainan Normal University, Haikou, China.
Frontiers in psychology
|September 29, 2025
概括
预期后悔总是让人们更不愿意冒险,并提高对自己选择的满意度. 这种效应适用于各种情况和风险下决策的个人差异.
科学领域:
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
背景情况:
- 面临风险的决策受各种因素的影响,包括情绪.
- 预期的情绪,如预期的后悔,在塑造选择中起着至关重要的作用.
- 了解预期后悔的影响是解释风险厌恶的关键.
研究的目的:
- 检查预期后悔对承受风险的决策的影响.
- 调查预期后悔如何促进风险厌恶,增强选择满意度.
- 探索个人风险偏好和时间压力对预期后悔影响的缓和效应.
主要方法:
- 为了系统地调查预期后悔的影响,进行了三项研究.
- 研究1使用气球模拟风险任务 (BART) 来操纵预期的遗憾.
- 研究2和研究3将个人风险偏好和时间压力作为额外的条件.
主要成果:
- 在研究1中,预期后悔显著增加了对风险不利的行为和选择满意度.
- 虽然预期的遗憾和风险偏好都影响了冒险,但只有预期的遗憾始终提高了满意度.
- 时间压力增加了风险厌恶,减弱了遗憾对避免风险的影响,但没有对满意度的影响.
结论:
- 预期后悔始终影响冒险行为和选择满意度.
- 未来的情绪在风险下在决策中起着稳定而重要的作用.
- 这些发现强调了在行为经济学和心理学中考虑预期后悔的重要性.
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