基于混合学习的故障预测和级联故障缓解在多网络能源系统中的故障缓解
Xiaoyu Wu1, Yuchen Cao1, Hengtian Wu1
1State Grid Energy Research Institute, Building A, No. 18, Binhe Avenue, Future Science City, Changping District, Beijing, 102209, China.
Scientific reports
|September 30, 2025
概括
本研究提出了一个AI框架,用于预测相互连接的电气,天然气和供暖网络中的级联故障. 这种方法提高了能源系统的弹性,并减少了故障恢复时间.
科学领域:
- 能源系统工程 能源系统工程
- 人工智能的人工智能
- 网络科学 网络科学
背景情况:
- 越来越多的电力,天然气和供暖网络的整合增加了级联故障的风险.
- 强大的模型对于预测和减轻复杂,相互连接的能源基础设施中的故障传播至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种基于人工智能的新型管理架构,用于预测和减轻多能源网络中的故障传播.
- 通过适应性恢复策略,提高相互连接的能源系统的弹性和可靠性.
主要方法:
- 将对抗式学习与图形结构预测模型相结合,用于故障演变合成和时空相关性捕获.
- 利用生成网络进行故障模式合成,并使用基于图形的神经网络进行子系统相关联.
- 在不确定性下的适应性恢复策略开发中,纳入分布强大的优化.
主要成果:
- 拟议的AI模型准确地预测了相互连接的电气,气体和供暖系统中的故障传播.
- 优化的恢复策略大大减少了恢复时间,并最大限度地降低了级联故障的影响.
- 使用合成案例研究证明有效性,涉及IEEE 123公共汽车电气,比利时天然气和供暖网络.
结论:
- 综合框架提供了一个可扩展的解决方案,以提高现代互联能源网络的弹性.
- 创新地使用对抗式和基于图形的学习技术,在多能系统中推进了故障轨迹预测.
- 分布强大的优化可以加强恢复计划,提高整体系统可靠性.
相关概念视频
Multimachine Stability
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Multimachine stability analysis is crucial for understanding the dynamics and stability of power systems with multiple synchronous machines. The objective is to solve the swing equations for a network of M machines connected to an N-bus power system.
In analyzing the system, the nodal equations represent the relationship between bus voltages, machine voltages, and machine currents. The nodal equation is given by:
In analyzing the system, the nodal equations represent the relationship between bus voltages, machine voltages, and machine currents. The nodal equation is given by:
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Bus Impedance Matrix
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Calculating subtransient fault currents for three-phase faults in an N-bus power system involves using the positive-sequence network. When a three-phase short circuit occurs at a specific bus, the analysis uses the superposition method to evaluate two separate circuits.
In the first circuit, all machine voltage sources are short-circuited, leaving only the prefault voltage source at the fault location. The positive-sequence bus impedance matrix can be determined by solving the nodal equations,...
In the first circuit, all machine voltage sources are short-circuited, leaving only the prefault voltage source at the fault location. The positive-sequence bus impedance matrix can be determined by solving the nodal equations,...
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Power System Three-Phase Short Circuits
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Fault Types
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When analyzing a single line-to-ground fault from phase A to ground at a three-phase bus, it is important to consider the fault impedance. This impedance is zero for a bolted fault, equal to the arc impedance for an arcing fault, and represents the total fault impedance for a transmission-line insulator flashover. To derive sequence and phase currents, fault conditions are translated from the phase domain to the sequence domain.
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Fast Decoupled and DC Powerflow
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The fast decoupled power flow method addresses contingencies in power system operations, such as generator outages or transmission line failures. This method provides quick power flow solutions, essential for real-time system adjustments. Fast decoupled power flow algorithms simplify the Jacobian matrix by neglecting certain elements, leading to two sets of decoupled equations:
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Zones of Protection
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In power systems, the entire setup is divided into protective zones to isolate faults and protect the rest of the network. These zones include generators, transformers, buses, transmission lines, distribution lines, and motors. Each zone can be visualized as a separate room in a house, with each room protected by its own circuit breaker.
Protective zones are defined by closed dashed lines, containing one or more components. A key characteristic of these zones is the strategic placement of...
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