在热带气旋沙欣期间,卫星降雨估计的可靠性
Badriya Al Mawali1,2, Alaa Ibrahim3, Sultan Al Yahyai4,5
1Physics Department, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat, Oman.
Scientific reports
|October 1, 2025
概括
卫星降雨估计高估了热带气旋期间的降雨量. 这项研究突出了数据中的差异,这对于像阿曼这样的地区的洪水预测至关重要.
科学领域:
- 气象学 天气学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 遥感 遥感 遥感 遥感
背景情况:
- 由于气候变化,包括风和洪水在内的极端天气事件在全球范围内正在增加.
- 可靠的天气预报对于减缓灾害至关重要,数值天气模型发挥着关键作用.
- 工业化程度较低的国家往往依赖于卫星数据,原因是有限的地面仪器,如雨量表和雷达.
研究的目的:
- 评估在极端天气事件期间卫星降雨估计的可靠性.
- 在阿曼的热带气旋Shaheen期间评估MWGHE卫星估计器的性能.
- 识别卫星数据和地面观测之间的差异,以改善洪水预测.
主要方法:
- 在热带气旋沙欣期间对卫星降雨估计的分析.
- 卫星数据与地面降水测量 (雨表) 的比较.
- 使用阿拉伯联合长国 (UAE) 的雷达观测进行验证.
主要成果:
- 与标尺数据相比,卫星数据始终高估累积降水量.
- 来自卫星的每日降水总量显示出一个积极的偏差.
- 每六小时一次的分析显示,变量被风强度和时间影响过高估计.
- 与阿联雷达数据相比,观察到空间分布和降雨强度的差异.
结论:
- 卫星降雨估计可能会高估热带气旋期间的降雨量.
- 目前的卫星数据需要改进或更广泛的产品来准确预测洪水.
- 提高卫星数据的可靠性对于依赖遥感的地区的灾害减缓至关重要.
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