基于根据排放标准进行场景分析的区域碳排放减少潜力的估计
Xuwei Xia1, Zhibin Yan2, Shuang Zhang1
1State Grid Ningxia Electric Power Co., Ltd., Technical Research Institute, Yinchuan, 750002, Ningxia, China.
Carbon balance and management
|October 1, 2025
概括
本研究使用场景分析和新型指数模型估计了碳排放减少潜力,解决了数据缺口. 结果显示,在严格的标准下,提高了效率和最小的工业碳排放贡献.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 工业工程 工业工程 工业工程
背景情况:
- 估计碳排放减少潜力受到许多地区缺少数据的阻碍.
- 场景分析提供了一种可行的方法来克服减排评估中的数据限制.
研究的目的:
- 使用场景分析开发和应用碳排放减少潜力指数模型.
- 为了估计碳排放权,考虑从2018年到2030年的工业产值.
主要方法:
- 根据Slack-Based Model (SBM) 构建了一个碳排放减少潜力指数模型.
- 采用全因子碳排放效率测量方法.
- 定义了三个排放限制场景:维持,超低和收紧.
主要成果:
- 碳排放性能低于0.05,表明效率有所提高.
- 计算了分配权重,发现工业碳排放的重要贡献几乎为零.
- 该模型估计了2018年至2030年的碳排放权.
结论:
- 开发的模型有效地估计了碳排放减少潜力,尽管数据有限.
- 通过基于场景的分析和定义的排放标准,可以实现提高碳排放效率.
- 该研究强调,在分析条件下,工业碳排放的贡献几乎为零.
相关概念视频
Global Climate Change
28.6K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
28.6K
Regression Analysis
7.7K
Regression analysis is a statistical tool that describes a mathematical relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables.
In regression analysis, a regression equation is determined based on the line of best fit– a line that best fits the data points plotted in a graph. This line is also called the regression line. The algebraic equation for the regression line is called the regression equation. It is represented as:
In regression analysis, a regression equation is determined based on the line of best fit– a line that best fits the data points plotted in a graph. This line is also called the regression line. The algebraic equation for the regression line is called the regression equation. It is represented as:
7.7K
Sampling Plans
853
Sampling is a crucial step in analytical chemistry, allowing researchers to collect representative data from a large population. Common sampling methods include random, judgmental, systematic, stratified, and cluster sampling.
Random sampling is a method where each member of the population has an equal chance of being selected for the sample. It involves selecting individuals randomly, often using random number generators or lottery-type methods. For example, when analyzing the properties of a...
Random sampling is a method where each member of the population has an equal chance of being selected for the sample. It involves selecting individuals randomly, often using random number generators or lottery-type methods. For example, when analyzing the properties of a...
853
Radiation: Applications
1.7K
The average temperature of Earth is the subject of much current discussion. Earth is in radiative contact with both the Sun and dark space; it receives almost all its energy from the radiation of the Sun and reflects some of it into outer space. Dark space is very cold, about 3 K, so Earth radiates energy into it. For instance, heat transfer occurs from soil and grasses, the rate of which can be so rapid that frost can occur on clear summer evenings, even in warm latitudes.
The average...
The average...
1.7K
Assessment of Diffusion and Perfusion
1.5K
Understanding and evaluating diffusion and perfusion is critical in assessing a patient's respiratory and circulatory health. These processes play key roles in maintaining the body's internal environment, ensuring that tissues receive adequate oxygen while waste products are efficiently removed.
The Role of Diffusion in Respiration
Diffusion is the process by which molecules move from an area of higher concentration to an area of lower concentration. In the respiratory system, this...
The Role of Diffusion in Respiration
Diffusion is the process by which molecules move from an area of higher concentration to an area of lower concentration. In the respiratory system, this...
1.5K
Free Energy Changes for Nonstandard States
13.3K
The free energy change for a process taking place with reactants and products present under nonstandard conditions (pressures other than 1 bar; concentrations other than 1 M) is related to the standard free energy change according to this equation:
13.3K


