农业碳足迹,可再生能源和亚洲的可持续发展
1Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, 200093, China.
Scientific reports
|October 2, 2025
概括
农业碳足迹影响亚洲的可持续发展,其影响因国家和发展阶段而异. 经济增长推动了排放,而可再生能源推动了排放.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 发展经济学 发展经济学
- 能源政策 能源政策
背景情况:
- 亚洲的快速发展加剧了环境退化和气候变化问题.
- 关于农业碳排放和可再生能源对该地区可持续发展的具体影响的研究有限.
研究的目的:
- 研究9个亚洲国家的农业碳足迹 (ACF),可再生能源消费 (RE) 和可持续发展 (SD) 之间的关系.
- 分析这些关系在不同可持续性水平和国家之间的因果关系和异质性.
主要方法:
- 使用横截面增强自动回归分布式滞后 (CS-ARDL) 来分析长期关系.
- 采用时刻量子回归 (MM-QR) 方法来探索可持续发展分布中的影响.
- 应用Dumitrescu-Hurlin (DH) 面板因果关系技术来确定因果关系.
主要成果:
- 在ACF和SD之间存在双向因果关系,经济增长影响农业排放.
- ACF对SD产生积极影响,在较低的可持续性水平有更强烈的影响,这表明存在非线性关系.
- 贸易开放与SD有负相关性,而RE显示出积极但微不足道的效应;观察到国家层面的显著异质性.
结论:
- 政策必须是特定于环境的,承认不同亚洲经济体的农业实践,再生能源采用和可持续发展成果之间的不同关系.
- 解决农业碳排放问题对于可持续发展至关重要,特别是在亚洲欠发达的经济体.
- 需要进一步研究可再生能源和贸易政策的细微作用.
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