人类时代危害陆地脊椎动物的古代多样性和进化潜力
R Alexander Pyron1, Mario R Moura2, Rauri C K Bowie3
1The George Washington University.
Research square
|October 3, 2025
概括
人类活动正在导致生物多样性的显著丧失,威胁到独特的进化血统. 保护努力对于保护现有的生物多样性和未来的进化潜力至关重要.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 进化生物学 进化生物学
- 保护科学 保护科学
背景情况:
- 由于人类活动,全球生物多样性丧失正在加速.
- 目前灭绝事件的生态和进化后果尚未得到充分理解.
研究的目的:
- 评估人类活动如何重塑四足动物进化.
- 估计陆地脊椎动物在未来50-500年的物种级灭绝概率 (pEX).
主要方法:
- 对33281只陆地脊椎动物使用了时间校准的族系.
- 包含35个生态和环境属性和专家评估的威胁.
- 基于当前威胁的物种级灭绝概率 (pEX) 估计.
主要成果:
- 在四足动物群体中发现了灭绝风险和宏观进化模式之间的不同关联.
- 具有高生育率,中等体型和广泛范围的物种更有可能持续存在.
- 预计在没有干预的情况下,在500年内物种丰富度下降15%,物种发生率下降16%.
结论:
- 仅仅是当前的威胁就表明,未来生物多样性和进化潜力的巨大损失.
- 需要紧急,协调的保护,以保护进化历史和未来的适应能力.
- 了解生态和进化驱动因素是缓解生物多样性重组的关键.
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