对电站进行多次缩放优化,考虑到可再生能源和电动汽车的不确定性
Lixia Zhou1, Bo Bo1, Po Yang1
1State Grid Jibei Electric Power Co., Ltd., Beijing, 100024, China.
Scientific reports
|October 3, 2025
概括
使用电动汽车 (EV) 和燃料电池汽车 (HFCV) 的混合动力发电站的新调度框架降低了成本和碳排放. 它通过管理可再生能源和需求的不确定性来优化运营.
科学领域:
- 可再生能源系统工程可再生能源系统工程
- 可持续的运输可持续的运输
- 运营研究 运营研究
背景情况:
- 新能源汽车,如电动汽车 (EV) 和燃料电池汽车 (HFCV) 是可持续发展和气候变化缓解的关键.
- 综合光伏 (PV) 发电和生产的混合动力发电站提供了效率提升,但由于不可预测的光伏发电和车辆需求,它们面临着调度复杂性.
研究的目的:
- 为混合动力电气-能电站开发一个多时间尺度调度框架.
- 通过解决光伏发电和EV/HFCV充电/加油需求的不确定性,尽量降低运营成本和碳排放.
- 提高电站运营的可靠性和经济效率.
主要方法:
- 实施一个多时间尺度调度框架,包括前一天和当天优化.
- 利用模糊的机会受限编程来管理光伏发电和负载需求的不确定性.
- 运用梯形和三角形成员函数来模糊量化预测.
主要成果:
- 实现了29.37%的碳排放减少和17.73%的年化成本降低,与前一天的日程安排相比.
- 通过实时跟踪光伏/负载波动和优化电解仪/燃料电池操作,证明了增强可再生能源利用率.
- 在更精细的时间分辨率上显示了改进的操作可靠性和经济效率,增加了信任水平.
结论:
- 拟议的多时间尺度调度框架有效地管理光伏发电和负载需求的短期波动.
- 模糊方法使得可靠的运营风险量化,平衡经济目标与可靠性要求.
- 这种方法对于优化将可再生能源纳入未来运输能源基础设施至关重要.
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