来自未破裂的大脑动脉静脉瘤的未来出血风险:多中心动脉静脉瘤研究研究 (MARS)
Helen Kim1,2, Jeffrey Nelson1, Charles E McCulloch2
1Center for Cerebrovascular Research, Department of Anesthesia and Perioperative Care, University of California, San Francisco.
JAMA neurology
|October 6, 2025
概括
由于未破裂的大脑动脉静脉形 (AVM) 的每年内出血 (ICH) 风险低于此前所认为的. ICH的主要风险因素包括年龄,相关动脉瘤和深部AVM位置.
科学领域:
- 神经学 神经学
- 神经外科 神经外科
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 由于未破裂的大脑动脉静脉形 (AVM) 的第一次内出血 (ICH) 的年率通常是2%至4%.
- 在未破裂的大脑AVM中缺乏ICH的精确估计和危险因素,阻碍了知情的治疗决策.
研究的目的:
- 为了估计率,并确定第一个ICH的风险因素,在一个大队伍的未破裂的大脑AVMs的个人.
主要方法:
- 多中心动脉静脉形研究研究 (MARS) 分析了2017-2023年9个国际队列 (2个基于人口,7个基于转诊) 的数据.
- 包括3030名没有破裂的大脑AVM的参与者;主要结果是时间到第一个ICH.
- 利用考克斯回归分析,对缺失的数据进行归算,在治疗,死亡或最后一次访问时进行审查.
主要成果:
- 年度ICH率为每100人年1.40 (95%CI,1.20-1.64),低于通常引用的数字.
- 显著的ICH独立风险因素包括诊断时年龄的增加 (P=.008),相关动脉瘤的存在 (P=.03) 和深部AVM位置 (P=.01).
- 45%的参与者出现了发作;AVM的中位直径为3.1厘米.
结论:
- 没有破裂的大脑AVM的实际年度ICH率低于临床实践估计.
- 老年,相关动脉瘤和深深的AVM位置是首次ICH的重要风险因素.
- 研究结果可以为患者咨询提供关于未被破坏的大脑AVM的自然史的信息.
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