在城市十字路口使用随机参数Logit模型对右转车辆和行人之间的冲突进行分析
1School of Civil Engineering and Transportation, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, China.
Traffic injury prevention
|October 6, 2025
概括
步行者在与右转车辆穿过街道时面临更高的风险,特别是当两人穿过时. 实施动态信号控制和监控可以减少行人与车辆之间的冲突,并提高交通安全.
科学领域:
- 交通安全 交通安全
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 交通运输中的人类因素
背景情况:
- 在有信号的十字路口,行人安全是一个关键问题,特别是在与右转车辆发生冲突时.
- 现有的研究往往忽略了导致这些特定类型的交通冲突的细微因素.
研究的目的:
- 识别和分析影响右转车辆与行人之间的冲突的关键因素.
- 制定减轻这些危险相互作用和提高行人安全的策略.
主要方法:
- 在有信号的十字路口进行实地调查,使用无人机 (UAV) 来收集数据.
- 应用时间差与碰撞 (TDTC) 方法用于冲突识别和有序Logit模型用于数据分析.
主要成果:
- 两人过路的行人发生严重冲突的风险增加了13.9%.
- 车辆首先通过 (VPF) 可能会减少小冲突,但可能会增加严重的冲突.
- 行人和车辆违规行为显著增加了严重冲突的风险.
结论:
- 调整十字路口尺寸和实施动态信号控制可以减轻冲突.
- 通过监控实时监控和管理违规行为对于制不安全行为至关重要.
相关概念视频
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Individual and Population Analysis
245
Mechanistic models are utilized in individual analysis using single-source data, but imperfections arise due to data collection errors, preventing perfect prediction of observed data. The mathematical equation involves known values (Xi), observed concentrations (Ci), measurement errors (εi), model parameters (ϕj), and the related function (ƒi) for i number of values. Different least-squares metrics quantify differences between predicted and observed values. The ordinary least...
245
Probability Histograms
13.2K
A probability histogram is a visual representation of a probability distribution. Similar a typical histogram, the probability histogram consists of contiguous (adjoining) boxes. It has both a horizontal axis and a vertical axis. The horizontal axis is labeled with what the data represents. The vertical axis is labeled with probability. Each rectangular bar in the histogram is 1 unit wide, which suggests that the area under each bar equals the probability, P(x), where x is 1, 2, 3, and so on.
13.2K
Introduction to Test of Independence
2.9K
In statistics, the term independence means that one can directly obtain the probability of any event involving both variables by multiplying their individual probabilities. Tests of independence are chi-square tests involving the use of a contingency table of observed (data) values.
The test statistic for a test of independence is similar to that of a goodness-of-fit test:
The test statistic for a test of independence is similar to that of a goodness-of-fit test:
2.9K
Sign Test for Matched Pairs
381
The sign test for matched pairs offers a robust method for comparing two paired samples, often for the effects of an intervention in one of them. This method is very useful in situations where the underlying distribution of the data is unknown. The test compares two related samples—often pre- and post-treatment measurements on the same subjects—to determine if there are significant differences in their median values.
To conduct the sign test, we first calculate the differences in...
To conduct the sign test, we first calculate the differences in...
381
Hypothesis Test for Test of Independence
7.4K
The test of independence is a chi-square-based test used to determine whether two variables or factors are independent or dependent. This hypothesis test is used to examine the independence of the variables. One can construct two qualitative survey questions or experiments based on the variables in a contingency table. The goal is to see if the two variables are unrelated (independent) or related (dependent). The null and alternative hypotheses for this test are:
H0: The two variables (factors)...
H0: The two variables (factors)...
7.4K
Parameters Affecting Nonlinear Elimination: Zero-Order Input, First-Order Absorption and Two-Compartment Model
290
Drugs administered through various routes can lead to nonlinear elimination, resulting in complex pharmacokinetic behaviors crucial to understanding efficacious drug dosing.
When a drug is administered through a constant intravenous infusion and eliminated via nonlinear pharmacokinetics, it follows zero-order input. For example, oral drugs undergo first-order absorption upon administration and are eliminated through nonlinear pharmacokinetics.
In the case of subcutaneously administered drugs,...
When a drug is administered through a constant intravenous infusion and eliminated via nonlinear pharmacokinetics, it follows zero-order input. For example, oral drugs undergo first-order absorption upon administration and are eliminated through nonlinear pharmacokinetics.
In the case of subcutaneously administered drugs,...
290


