在碳市场协议中考虑白度
Lynn M Riley1,2, Susan C Cook-Patton3,4, Loren P Albert5
1American Forest Foundation, Washington, DC, USA. lriley@forestfoundation.org.
Nature communications
|October 6, 2025
概括
在碳抵消项目中,阿尔贝多变化会显著高估气候效益. 超过10%的分析项目可能因白色效应而否定了气候缓解,突出了需要更好的会计.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 自愿碳市场 (VCM) 项目,包括植林,再造林和再生植被 (ARR),对于减缓气候变化至关重要.
- 由于排除了白度 (太阳辐射反射) 变化,VCM项目的气候效益可能被不准确地评估.
研究的目的:
- 量化阿尔贝多变化对气候变化缓解ARR项目在VCM中的有效性的影响.
- 提出将白度计算纳入碳信用协议的方法.
主要方法:
- 分析了VCM172个植树造林,再造林和再植被项目的情况.
- 根据地点,对每个项目的气候减缓效益的潜在白色影响的评估.
主要成果:
- 超过10%的分析项目位于白度变化可能完全抵消其气候减缓效益的地区.
- 大约25%的项目位于白色可能使减缓效益减半的地区.
- 大多数项目位于预期 albedo 影响最小的地区,9%位于 albedo 可以加强缓解的地点.
结论:
- 目前的VCM项目评估可能会高估气候效益,因为不考虑白度变化.
- 将白度数据纳入碳信用协议可以提高准确性,并优先考虑具有真正气候效益的项目.
- 需要进一步的研究和工具来考虑其他生物物理变化,如VCM项目评估中的蒸发转化.
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