一个分类的系统动态和水 - 能源 - 食品连接的基于代理的建模,以优化水分配
Soheila Zarei1, Omid Bozorg-Haddad2, Mohammad Reza Nikoo3
1Department of Irrigation & Reclamation Engineering, Faculty of Agricultural Engineering & Technology, College of Agriculture & Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj, Tehran, Iran.
Scientific reports
|October 7, 2025
概括
这项研究开发了农业可持续水资源管理的综合模型. 优化的水分配大大降低了用水量和能源需求,同时改善了地下水位和环境流动.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
- 农业工程 农业工程
背景情况:
- 不对称的水分配威胁着干旱地区的水,能源和粮食安全.
- 可持续的供水需要综合管理复杂的社会环境系统.
研究的目的:
- 提出一个综合模型框架,用于在水资源有限的农业地区的可持续供水.
- 优化水资源分配,考虑能源,地下水和农业利益之间的权衡.
主要方法:
- 系统动力学和基于代理 (SD-AB) 的建模.
- 使用非主导排序遗传算法II (NSGA-II) 的多目标进化优化.
- 使用分析层次流程 (AHP) 进行后优化分析,以对解决方案进行排名.
主要成果:
- 最佳的分配使得用水量减少了13.1%,能源需求减少了23.96%.
- 地下水位增加了1米,环境水分配增加了355%.
- 农业净收益下降了22.4%,这表明了可持续性权衡.
结论:
- 综合SD-AB-NSGA-II-AHP框架是水资源规划的有价值的决策支持工具.
- 该方法论为管理像扎扬德鲁德这样的盆地的水资源短缺提供了政策影响.
- 这种方法可以扩展到全球其他社会环境环境.
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