在成都使用MCCA-InVEST进行基于场景的碳储存模拟:土地利用变化,空间模式和驱动机制
Zhigang Li1,2, Taolue Yan3, Yulun Du4
1Chengdu Park City Demonstration Zone Construction Research Center, Chengdu Federation of Social Science Associations, Chengdu,China, China, People's Republic.
Carbon balance and management
|October 8, 2025
概括
可持续发展方案平衡了成都的生态保护和经济增长.
科学领域:
- 生态经济学生态经济学
- 环境科学环境科学
- 城市规划是城市规划.
背景情况:
- 成都旨在实现双碳目标和高质量的发展.
- 土地使用模式显著影响碳储存.
- 有效的土地利用规划对于平衡生态安全和经济增长至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析土地使用对成都碳储存的影响.
- 为土地利用规划提供基于证据的战略.
- 支持成都-重庆经济圈的双碳目标.
主要方法:
- 利用MCCA-InVEST模型模拟2025-2035年土地使用变化和碳储存.
- 整合了11个驱动因素来模拟使用MCCA模型的土地使用动态.
- 在自然发展 (ND),生态保护 (EC) 和可持续发展 (SD) 场景下,评估碳储存变化,重点关注耕地,森林和不透水土地.
主要成果:
- 可持续发展情景显示了土地利用损失和收益之间的平衡,森林增加了25.0%,不可穿透的土地扩大了32.4%.
- 在SD情景下,碳储存在很大程度上保持稳定,与ND的净减少和EC的净增加形成对比.
- 高碳储存区集中在山区,主要由NDVI驱动.
结论:
- 可持续发展情景有效地平衡了生态保护和经济发展.
- 建议包括加强关键山区的林业,促进紧的城市扩张.
- MCCA-InVEST模型是评估碳储存和为实现双碳目标提供土地利用规划信息的有效工具.
相关概念视频
The Carbon Cycle
43.2K
Carbon is the basis of all organic matter on Earth, and is recycled through the ecosystem in two primary processes: one in which carbon is exchanged among living organisms, and one in which carbon is cycled over long periods of time through fossilized organic remains, weathering of rocks, and volcanic activity. Human activities, including increased agricultural practices and the burning of fossil fuels, has greatly affected the balance of the natural carbon cycle.
43.2K
Global Climate Change
28.7K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
28.7K
Design Example: Analyzing Capacity Contours for Flood Risk Assessment
285
Flood risk assessment involves careful planning and analysis to ensure the safety of communities near water retention structures. Capacity contours are a vital tool in this process, as they illustrate the potential spread of water at specific levels in a given area. In the context of building a bund across a small valley, these contours play a critical role in evaluating the safety of nearby residential areas.In this example, the bund is intended to store stormwater in the valley. The engineers...
285
Manipulation and Analysis
286
GIS manipulation and analysis functions are vital for decision-making and planning. These activities range from data retrieval tasks, such as selecting information based on specific criteria, to advanced analytical techniques that address complex spatial problems.One critical GIS analysis method is overlaying, which combines multiple data layers to examine impacts. For example, overlaying a river-dammed lake boundary with road networks can identify affected infrastructure. Another common...
286


