区域差异,空间时间演变和中国粮食安全的动态演变
1School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Jiangsu University of Science and Technology, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China.
Scientific reports
|October 8, 2025
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 食品安全研究 食品安全研究
- 空间分析 空间分析
背景情况:
- 粮食安全对国家安全至关重要,需要强有力的评估系统.
- 加强中国的粮食安全治理能力是现代化的关键目标.
- 需要为食品安全评估和研究扩展提供理论框架.
研究的目的:
- 为中国构建一个科学食品安全评估系统.
- 分析中国粮食安全的时空动态和区域差异.
- 为改善中国的粮食安全机制和全球参考提供见解.
主要方法:
- 输入重量TOPSIS模型用于测量粮食安全水平 (2011-2021年).
- 标准偏差圆,莫兰指数,以及用于空间分析的达格姆吉尼系数.
- 马尔科夫链模型分析粮食安全的动态演变.
主要成果:
- 粮食安全得分在2011-2021年期间呈现波动,平衡和增长阶段.
- 空间分布从东北转向西南,显示空间自相关性.
- 由生产-销售不平衡驱动的区域差异是不平等的主要来源.
结论:
- 中国的粮食安全水平显示出空间自我强化和溢出效应.
- 空间模式沿着"东北-西南"轴扩展,差异化越来越大.
- 改善区域协调机制对于解决差异至关重要,特别是缺乏政策补偿和市场机制.
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