在可解释的人工智能中评估无模型的后期方法:增强物种分布模型
Don Enrico Buebos-Esteve1,2,3, Nikki Heherson A Dagamac4,5,6
1Initiatives for Conservation, Landscape Ecology, Bioprospecting, and Biomodeling (ICOLABB), Research Center for the Natural and Applied Sciences, University of Santo Tomas, España, 1008, Manila, Philippines.
这项研究通过应用可解释的人工智能来增强临灭绝的明道罗猪的物种分布模型 (SDM). 调查结果显示,当地生物气候因素降低了预测的存在,促使有针对性的保护工作.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
- 人工智能的人工智能
背景情况:
- 物种分布模型 (SDM) 对于保护规划至关重要,但往往缺乏地方规模的解释性.
- 现有的SDM研究主要集中在全球预测上,忽视了对保护行动至关重要的特定地点因素.
- 明多罗猪 (Sus oliveri) 是一个临灭绝的特有物种,需要精确的息地评估才能有效地保护.
研究的目的:
- 通过在可解释的人工智能中应用无模型的临时后期方法来弥合SDM可解释性的空间差距.
- 在全球和地方范围内分析生物气候特征对明道罗猪的SDM的重要性,影响和相互作用.
- 通过了解当地环境影响,为保护敏多罗猪提供可操作的见解.
主要方法:
- 应用模型不可知可解释的AI技术,包括变换特征重要性,SHAP,累积局部效应,局部可解释的模型不可知解释和分解.
- 在菲律宾明多罗岛开发和分析Mindoro warty猪的SDM.
- 对潜在保护区的SDM预测进行全球和本地可解释性的比较分析.
主要成果:
- 全球SDM预测表明,较高的海拔和年度降水与Mindoro猪存在的可能性增加有关.
- 当地可解释性方法显示,1平方公里的特定保护区内生物气候特征的累积效应导致预测存在概率的下降.
- 年度降水被认为是整个岛屿分布趋势的关键驱动因素.
结论:
- 由于在关键保护区预计存在的数量减少,需要加强本地对明道罗猪种群的监测.
- 该研究通过整合可解释的人工智能成功扩展了SDM管道,为解释模型预测提供了一种新的方法.
- 这些发现强调了考虑全球和当地环境因素对于有效的物种保护战略的重要性.
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