基于3D空间集群的水导管断裂区和屋顶水危险预警的动态演变
Mingyi Cui1,2, Enke Hou3,4, Jichao Fan5
1College of Geology and Environment, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an, 710054, Shaanxi, China. cmy990401@126.com.
Scientific reports
|October 9, 2025
概括
这项研究引入了煤矿水危险预警的综合框架. 它使用改进的微地震集群和水风险预测指数来识别来自导水断裂区域的风险.
科学领域:
- 地质工程是地质工程.
- 矿业安全 矿业安全
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
背景情况:
- 从导水断裂区 (WCFZ) 涌入屋顶的水是煤炭开采的主要风险.
- 传统的监测方法无法捕捉到WCFZ复杂的3D结构和动态.
- 准确的WCFZ表征对于防止采矿引起的水危害至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个完整的早期预警框架,用于WCFZ识别和水危险管理.
- 改进WCFZ空间结构和动态演变的识别.
- 提供量化风险评估,以积极预防洪水泛滥.
主要方法:
- 一个改进的经体积校正的DBSCAN算法,用于增强的微地震集群识别.
- 将WCFZ发展的动态细分为增长和稳定阶段.
- 一个水风险预测指数 (WRPI) 模型,整合了十二个指标和风险评估的游戏理论融合.
主要成果:
- 增强的DBSCAN算法准确地识别出主导的微地震集群和WCFZ发展阶段.
- 该WRPI模型有效量化风险,为潜在的激增区域和异常产生实时警报.
- 现场验证表明,该框架在复杂的地质条件下提高了准确性和适应性.
结论:
- 拟议的综合框架显著改善了智能WCFZ识别.
- 这种方法提供了一种积极的方法,用于煤矿水危害管理.
- 该研究强调了先进监控技术在确保矿山安全方面的潜力.
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