从风险到性:关于地缘政治冲击和清洁能源市场的波形量子证据
1Bilecik Seyh Edebali University, Bilecik, Turkiye.
Journal of environmental management
|October 10, 2025
概括
地缘政治风险最初会损害清洁能源市场,但最终会促进它们的长期发展. 能源安全问题推动了清洁能源投资,尽管短期波动.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 地缘政治风险对全球能源市场产生重大影响,影响传统和可再生能源行业.
- 了解地缘政治不稳定和清洁能源之间的动态关系对于市场稳定和能源转型至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析地缘政治风险指数 (GPR) 和清洁能源指数之间的关系.
- 调查地缘政治风险对不同量级清洁能源市场的短期,中期和长期影响.
主要方法:
- 使用波形量子对应 (WQC),波形核基于规范最小方程 (WKRLS) 和波形量子回归 (WQR).
- 从2014年2月8日到2025年6月2日的使用数据涵盖了四个清洁能源指数:EDGE,SPG,WILDER和EU.
主要成果:
- 观察到GPR和清洁能源市场之间存在负面的短期关系.
- 关系在中期过渡到中性,并在长期变得积极.
- 地缘政治风险最初会降低投资者的信心,但后来由于能源安全问题,刺激了清洁能源投资.
结论:
- 地缘政治风险带来短期挑战,但可以促进清洁能源市场的长期增长.
- 调查结果为投资者风险管理和加速能源转型的政策框架提供了关键的见解.
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