区域协调可以减轻低碳电力系统的成本负担
Jacob Wessel1, Afm Kamal Chowdhury2, Thomas Wild2,3
1Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Tufts University, Medford, MA, USA. jwesse03@tufts.edu.
Nature communications
|October 10, 2025
概括
南美洲的区域电力协调可以以更低的成本实现低碳能源系统. 国际合作显著降低了开支,使得脱碳变得可行,尽管可再生能源投资存在不确定性.
科学领域:
- 能源系统分析 能源系统分析
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
- 整合可再生能源的整合
背景情况:
- 全球南方低碳电力系统的长期规划在基础设施投资方面面临重大不确定性.
- 国家电网经常独立运行,尽管区域一体化可能带来好处.
研究的目的:
- 检查南美子区域区域区域电力协调的价值.
- 在严格的排放目标和技术经济不确定性下,评估协调对脱碳成本的影响.
主要方法:
- 模拟一个具有可变可再生资源的南美次区域.
- 通过一系列技术经济假设和减排目标进行分析.
主要成果:
- 脱碳是可以通过适度的成本溢价实现的,通过国际协调进一步降低.
- 区域协调在不同情景中弥补了可再生能源部署的差异.
- 国家脱碳途径对技术选择敏感,如果没有协调,成本会大幅增加 (147亿至228亿美元,而35亿至70亿美元).
结论:
- 区域电力协调为实现南美洲的低碳能源系统提供了可观的成本节约.
- 国际合作是降低成本和提高脱碳可行性的关键.
- 这些发现适用于通过加强国际合作实现排放目标的其他地区.
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