碳足迹和发展:解开一带一路经济的难题
Bilal Hussain1, Zhao Rui Feng2, Komal Batool3
1Faculty of Management and Economics, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, 650000, China; Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Kotwali Rd, Gurunanakpura, Faisalabad, 38000, Pakistan.
Journal of environmental management
|October 11, 2025
概括
一带一路倡议 (BRI) 国家的经济增长影响了碳足迹. 人类发展最初增加了排放量,但后来减少了它们,而外国投资并没有创造污染天堂.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 可持续发展研究 可持续发展研究
- 计量经济学 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 全球可持续发展倡议强调经济扩张对环境的影响.
- 一带一路倡议 (BRI) 涉及许多经济体,需要了解它们的碳排放动态.
- 评估发展指标与碳足迹之间的关系对于有针对性的环境政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查114个"一带一路"经济体的人类发展,外国直接投资,能源消费,城市化,贸易,金融发展,资本形成和碳足迹之间的联系.
- 在"一带一路"参与国家的背景下,实证测试环境库兹涅茨曲线假设.
- 确定影响碳足迹的关键驱动因素,为可持续发展战略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用了从1990年到2023年的114个参与"一带一路"倡议的经济体的面板数据.
- 采用了先进的计量经济学技术:德里斯科尔-克雷标准误差,可行通用最小平方和杜米特雷斯库和赫林·格兰杰因果关系.
- 分析了人类发展指数,外国直接投资,生物质能源消费,城市化,贸易开放,金融发展和总资本形成对碳足迹的影响.
主要成果:
- 证实了一个反转的U形环境库兹涅茨曲线:人类发展最初提高,然后降低碳足迹.
- 没有证据支持污染避风港假说,因为外国直接投资与碳足迹有负面关联.
- 生物质能源消耗,城市化,总资本形成和金融发展与碳足迹有积极的相关性.
- 贸易开放性与碳足迹有显著的负面关系.
结论:
- "一带一路"经济体可以通过推进人力和资本发展来实现可持续发展.
- 战略性利用外国直接投资是促进向更低碳排放过渡的关键.
- 政策干预应考虑各种经济因素对碳足迹的影响差异,以实现有效的环境管理.
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