探索与能源安全,支出和政策不确定性有关的CO2排放动态,使用量子对量子回归:来自美国的案例研究
Sanjeet Singh1, Pooja Bansal2, Sireesha Nanduri3
1Department of Management Studies, Marwadi University, Morbi Highway, Rajkot, Gujarat, India.
Scientific reports
|October 13, 2025
概括
减少碳排放需要专注于能源安全和支出. 经济政策的不确定性也对排放产生重大影响,美国需要更好的管理策略来实现其气候目标.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 能源政策 能源政策
背景情况:
- 美国面临的挑战是到2030年将碳排放量减半.
- 能源资源,支出和政策不确定性是影响减排目标的关键因素.
研究的目的:
- 实证地研究二氧化碳排放与美国主要经济和能源指标之间的动态关系.
- 分析能源安全指数 (ESI),能源支出 (EE) 和经济政策不确定性 (EPU) 对二氧化碳排放的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用来自美国1985-2022年年度数据集的月度频率数据.
- 采用多变量量子对量子回归 (QQR),这是一个先进的非参数技术,用于经验分析.
主要成果:
- 在能源安全指数和二氧化碳排放之间发现了负关系.
- 增加的能源支出也与减少的二氧化碳排放有关.
- 经济政策的不确定性对排放水平产生了显著的不利影响.
结论:
- 建议推行促进能源意识,节约和绿色能源的政策.
- 改革能源结构,减少消费和改进技术可以降低排放.
- 有效地管理经济政策的不确定性对于美国的减排至关重要.
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