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Updated: Jan 15, 2026

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了解中国城市居民对气候变化的看法:来自全国调查的见解
Haimeng Liu1, Chunwang Jia2, Lujin Zhang3
1Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China; Key Laboratory of Urban Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, 100089, China.
Journal of environmental management
|October 14, 2025
概括
公众对中国气候变化的看法因人口统计和经验而有很大差异. 极端天气的暴露,收入和福祉强烈影响了对气候变化的看法,并为适应政策提供了信息.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 城市研究 城市研究
背景情况:
- 气候变化需要了解公众的态度,才能制定有效的政策.
- 关于中国城市气候变化观念的有限大规模数据存在.
- 驱动这些感知的潜在机制尚未得到充分理解.
研究的目的:
- 在中国主要城市制定气候变化公众感知指数 (PPI).
- 确定影响气候变化观念的关键驱动因素和非线性影响.
- 为加强中国的气候适应政策提供有针对性的见解.
主要方法:
- 分析了2023年从中国主要城市收集的9819份调查答复.
- 应用可解释的机器学习模型来识别感知驱动因素.
- 检查人口,社会经济和城市属性的气候感知影响.
主要成果:
- 经历极端天气,收入和主观幸福感与更高的气候变化感知有积极的相关性.
- 男性和制造业,运输,建筑和能源行业的工人表现出更强烈的看法.
- 年龄和碳排放强度与感知呈现反转的U形关系;城市属性很重要,但政治因素并不重要.
结论:
- 在中国各地的城市气候变化观念中存在显著的群体异质性.
- 非线性因素在塑造公众对气候变化的态度方面发挥着至关重要的作用.
- 研究结果为制定更有效的气候适应政策提供了有针对性的策略.
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