巴西的子主义:2012年至2024年的时空方法和风险区域
Alec Brian Lacerda1, Denise Cândido2, Thiago Salomão de Azevedo3,4
1School of Public Health, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
PLoS neglected tropical diseases
|October 15, 2025
概括
2012年至2024年期间,巴西的天病例增长了349%,其中10岁以下的儿童面临风险最高. 在米纳斯杰拉斯州,圣保罗州和巴伊亚州确定了子的高风险地区.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 空间分析 空间分析
背景情况:
- 子症是巴西日益严重的公共卫生问题,病例显著增加.
- 蒂蒂乌斯属是子刺伤的主要原因,在10岁以下的儿童中存在严重的死亡风险.
研究的目的:
- 确定巴西各地高低子症发病率的地理区域.
- 分析与子有关的事故的空间和时间分布.
主要方法:
- 一项生态,描述性研究分析了来自巴西所有5570个市镇 (2012-2024) 的子主义数据.
- 根据年龄和性别标准化的贝叶斯发病率被计算出来.
- 空间,时空,时间,季节和趋势扫描技术识别了高风险集群. 在集群之间比较了社会人口,环境和气候变量.
主要成果:
- 在全国范围内报告了170多万子症病例和1230例死亡.
- 发病率增加了349% (每10万居民的发病率从31.8增加到142.82).
- 在米纳斯杰拉斯州,圣保罗州和巴希亚州观察到高风险集群的上升趋势;北部地区显示出一个截然不同的模式. 儿童和老年人不成比例地受到影响.
结论:
- 进一步的研究是必不可少的,以阐明在高风险地区驱动子主义的具体因素.
- 调查结果将为针对性公共卫生政策,子主义的监测和控制策略提供信息.
相关概念视频
Prevalence and Incidence
1.5K
In statistical epidemiology and health sciences, two essential metrics—prevalence and incidence—are fundamental for understanding disease dynamics within a population. These measures enable public health officials, epidemiologists, and researchers to assess the burden of diseases, allocate resources effectively, and design impactful public health policies and interventions.
Prevalence indicates the proportion of individuals in a population who have a specific disease or health...
Prevalence indicates the proportion of individuals in a population who have a specific disease or health...
1.5K
Relative Risk
2.0K
Relative risk (RR) is a statistical measure commonly used in epidemiology to compare the likelihood of a particular event occurring between two groups. This metric is important for evaluating the relationship between exposure to a specific risk factor and the probability of a particular outcome. It plays a crucial role in medical research, public health studies, and risk assessment. Relative risk quantifies how much more (or less) likely an event is to occur in an exposed group compared to an...
2.0K
Threats to Biodiversity
26.5K
There have been five major extinction events throughout geological history, resulting in the elimination of biodiversity, followed by a rebound of species that adapted to the new conditions. In the current geological epoch, the Holocene, there is a sixth extinction event in progress. This mass extinction has been attributed to human activities and is thus provisionally called the Anthropocene. In 2019 the human population reached 7.7 billion people and is projected to comprise 10 billion by...
26.5K
Speciation Rates
22.6K
Overview
22.6K
Hazard Ratio
560
The hazard ratio (HR) is a widely used measure in clinical trials to compare the risk of events, such as death or disease recurrence, between two groups over time. It reflects the ratio of hazard rates—the instantaneous risk of the event occurring—between a treatment group and a control group. This measure provides valuable insights into the relative effectiveness of a treatment by assessing how the risk of an event differs between the two groups.
For example, in a clinical trial...
For example, in a clinical trial...
560
Bias in Epidemiological Studies
1.3K
Biases can arise at various stages of research, from study design and data collection to analysis and interpretation. Recognizing and addressing these biases is essential to ensure the validity and reliability of epidemiological findings.Broadly speaking, biases in epidemiology fall into three main categories: selection bias, information bias, and confounding. A more detailed description of possible biases is:
1.3K


