经济复杂性对能源消费风险的影响 经济复杂性的能源消费风险影响
Cem Işık1, Serdar Ongan2, Bekhzod Kuziboev3
1Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Anadolu University, Eskişehir, Türkiye; University College, Korea University, 145 Anam-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul, 02841, Republic of Korea; Baku Eurasian University, Economic Research Center (BAAU-ERC), Baku, Azerbaijan; Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC), Clinic of Economics, Baku, Azerbaijan; Western Caspian University, Economic Research Center (WCERC), Baku, Azerbaijan; Advance Research Centre, European University of Lefke, Lefke, TR-10, Mersin, Northern Cyprus, Türkiye; Faculty of Tourism, Atatürk University, 25240, Erzurum, Turkiye.
经济复杂性在许多国家显著降低了能源消耗风险. 提高经济复杂性可以提高能源系统的弹性,促进能源安全和可持续性.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 可持续性科学 可持续性科学
背景情况:
- 经济复杂性与能源消耗风险之间的直接关系存在有限的经验研究.
- 现有的研究往往侧重于经济复杂性对能源消耗或可再生能源采用的影响.
研究的目的:
- 分析经济复杂性 (EC) 对2000年至2022年137个国家的能源消费风险 (ECR) 的影响.
- 为了研究ECR分布的不同量度的这些效应,并解决异性.
主要方法:
- 使用时刻量子回归 (MMQR) 方法来检查这种关系.
- 使用工具变量 (IV) 量子回归和替代IV方法 (Lewbel-IV,Kiviet-IV,Hausman-Taylor IV,IV-GMM) 进行稳定性检查.
主要成果:
- 经济复杂性表明,在大多数量度中,能源消耗风险的显著和一致降低.
- 调查结果表明,更高的经济复杂性通过技术进步和创新提高了能源系统的弹性.
结论:
- 优先考虑改善经济复杂性的战略对于实现国家能源安全和可持续性至关重要.
- 经济复杂性增加有助于减轻能源风险,促进更具弹性能源系统.
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