相关实验视频
Updated: Jan 15, 2026

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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
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[基于PLUS-INVEST模型的空间时间演变和多场景预测东廷湖盆地碳储存]
Ya-di Hou1, Dong-Xin Wen2, Zhong-Cheng Wang1
1College of Forestry, College of Soil and Water Conservation, Central South University of Forestry and Technology, Changsha 410004, China.
Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue
|October 15, 2025
概括
中国东廷湖盆地的碳储量从2000年到2020年有所下降. 未来的预测显示,在自然和耕地开发情景下下降,但在生态保护方面有所增加,这凸显了气候变化减缓的重要性.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
- 生态系统的碳动力学
背景情况:
- 东亭湖盆地是中国一个关键的淡水生态系统.
- 了解碳库存动态对于全球气候变化研究至关重要.
- 过去的土地使用变化影响了当前的碳库存水平.
研究的目的:
- 分析2000年至2020年东廷湖盆地碳库存的时空演变.
- 在各种发展情景 (2030-2060年) 下模拟未来的碳库存趋势.
- 确定影响碳库存分布的关键因素.
主要方法:
- 东湖盆地2000-2020年利用的土地使用数据.
- 使用PLUS-INVEST模型进行时空碳库存模拟.
- 分析了影响因素,包括DEM和斜率.
主要成果:
- 盆地的碳库存在2000-2020年间初步上升,然后下降,净减少0.31×10^8.
- 未来的模拟 (2030-2060) 预测,在自然和耕地开发下,碳储量会减少,但在生态保护下,碳储量会增加.
- 斜率被确定为影响空间碳库存差异化的最重要因素.
结论:
- 生态保护场景显著缓解了东廷湖盆地的碳库存下降.
- 土地利用规划和资源管理对于区域绿色发展至关重要.
- 这些发现为该盆地的可持续资源利用和生态建设提供了指导.
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