一个混合框架,集成过去的可分解混合和反向变压器,用于基于GNSS的滑坡移位预测
Jinhua Wu1, Chengdu Cao1, Liang Fei1
1China Railway Siyuan Survey and Design Group Co., Ltd., Wuhan 430063, China.
Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|October 16, 2025
概括
本研究介绍了一种混合模型,用于使用过去可分解混合 (PDM) 和倒置变压器 (iTransformer) 预测滑坡位移. 新的框架准确地预测了复杂的地面运动,增强了地缘危险预警系统.
科学领域:
- 地质科学 地质科学
- 地质技术工程 地质技术工程
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 滑坡移位预测对于地理危险的早期预警和基础设施安全至关重要.
- 全球导航卫星系统 (GNSS) 的时间序列数据由于非静止,非线性和多尺度行为而带来挑战.
- 对这些复杂行为进行准确的建模对于可靠的预测至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种混合预测框架 (PDM-iTransformer) 用于模拟复杂的山体滑坡移位.
- 为了有效地处理GNSS时间序列数据中的非静止,非线性和多尺度特征.
- 为了提高山体滑坡移位预测的准确性和稳定性.
主要方法:
- 提出了一个混合框架,集成过去可分解混合 (PDM) 和反向变压器 (iTransformer).
- PDM模块将时间序列分解为多分辨率组件,增强特征表示.
- 该iTransformer模型的个别时间序列与交叉变量自我注意力隐藏的依赖捕获和前网络用于局部特征提取.
主要成果:
- 与传统模型相比,PDM-iTransformer框架表现出优异的性能.
- 确定系数 (R2) 增加了16.2-48.3%.
- 根平均平方误差 (RMSE) 和平均绝对误差 (MAE) 分别减少了1.33毫米和1.08毫米.
结论:
- 拟议的PDM-iTransformer框架对于预测复杂地形中的山体滑坡移位是有效和强大的.
- 混合方法成功地模拟了GNSS数据的长期趋势和短期波动.
- 这一进步为地理危险的早期预警和基础设施安全做出了重大贡献.
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