时间问题:在基于经验的学习任务中,当前,短期和长期预期价值的预测能力
Daniel Thomas Jäger1,2, Jascha Rüsseler1,2
1Department of Psychology, Cognition, Emotion and Neuropsychology, University of Bamberg, Bamberg, Germany.
Frontiers in psychology
|October 16, 2025
概括
决策依赖于当前,短期和长期预期的价值. 情绪价值影响选择,适应环境,如损失或遗漏.
科学领域:
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 神经经济学 神经经济学
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
背景情况:
- 情绪价值显著影响决策过程.
- 了解预期价值影响选择的不同时间框架至关重要.
- 基于经验的学习任务提供了一个研究适应性决策的框架.
研究的目的:
- 调查当前,短期和长期预期价值在决策中的预测能力.
- 检查这些价值构造如何影响基于经验的博任务中的选择.
- 要确定价值的影响是否根据选择环境 (例如,损失与遗漏) 变化.
主要方法:
- 两个涉及博任务的实验,旨在平衡短期和长期结果.
- 利用通用的混合效应模型来分析价值结构的预测能力.
- 操纵选择环境,包括接受短期损失以获得长期收益和省略短期收益的场景.
主要成果:
- 当前,短期和长期预期的价值都是风险选择的重要预测因素.
- 价值结构的影响是由特定的选择环境调节的.
- 在损失背景下,参与者更多地依赖短期期望;在遗漏背景下,长期期望更有影响力.
结论:
- 情绪价值,跨越多个时间框架,在指导决策中起着关键作用.
- 主观估值系统根据所选择的场景调整其依赖不同价值时间的依赖.
- 考虑情感自我报告的多个维度对于全面了解决策至关重要.
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