选择工具的预测有效性:申请人池组成的关键作用
Meir S Barneron1, Tamar Kennet-Cohen2, Dvir Kleper2
1Seymour Fox School of Education, Hebrew University of Jerusalem.
Psychological methods
|October 16, 2025
概括
申请人池组成的变化会影响选择工具的有效性. 研究表明,这种关系可以是有益的或有害的,这取决于特定的条件和参数. 这有助于做出明智的选择工具决策.
科学领域:
- 心理测量 心理测量 心理测量
- 组织心理学 组织心理学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 全球化,人口变化和社会流动性正在改变就业和教育的申请人群.
- 选择工具对于评估候选人至关重要,但它们的预测有效性可能会受到申请人池组成的影响.
研究的目的:
- 调查申请人池组成 (焦点组比例,p) 对选择工具预测有效性 (r) 的影响.
- 为了证明p和r之间的直接关系,受特定参数的影响.
- 为决策者提供一个框架来预测和管理这些影响.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个理论方程来建模申请人池组成 (p) 和预测有效性 (r) 之间的关系.
- 进行了一项经验研究,使用来自高风险选择背景的超过13万个观察结果.
- 分析现实数据以验证拟议方程,并评估其在假设可能不成立的情况下的适用性.
主要成果:
- 证实了申请人池组成 (p) 和预测有效性 (r) 之间的直接关系.
- 在p的变化可以对r产生有益或有害的影响,这取决于特定的条件.
- 拟议的方程有效地解释了在现实世界的场景中选择工具的性能.
结论:
- 通过预测申请人池变化的影响,研究结果使得人们能够做出有关选择工具使用的明智决定.
- 提供了一个解释不同工具,背景或时间段的预测有效性变化的基础.
- 强调在心理测量评估中考虑申请人池动态的重要性.
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