使用贝叶斯逻辑建模检查L2语言熟练程度对学业成绩的好处
Taocheng Jiang1,2, ZhiYi Zheng3, Feng Wang4
1Liberal Arts College, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China.
较高的Hanyu Shuiping Kaoshi (HSK) 成绩预测了中国国际学生的第一年研究生学术成功. 这个L2熟练测试,结合本科记录,表明研究生课程的潜在表现.
科学领域:
- 教育评估的教育评估
- 获得第二语言的学习.
背景情况:
- 汉宇学平考士 (HSK) 是中国国际研究生必修的L2能力测试.
- 对于第一年毕业生学术成绩的HSK成绩的预测有效性研究不足.
研究的目的:
- 研究HSK成绩与第一年毕业生学术成绩之间的关系.
- 评估HSK成绩和本科学术记录对研究生成功的预测能力.
主要方法:
- 贝叶斯逻辑回归模型是使用中国南部666名研究生数据开发的.
- 用HSK成绩 (听力,阅读,写作) 和本科GPA作为预测指标.
- 一年级毕业生成绩是二元的 (>=85%或<85%).
主要成果:
- 在HSK测试组件中发现了统计学上显著的相关性.
- 贝叶斯模型在获得B+或更高分的预测准确度很强.
- 该模型有效地整合了L2熟练程度和先前的学术成绩.
结论:
- 国际学生在中国的研究生课程中取得成功的重要预测因素是HSK成绩和本科学术成就.
- 通过HSK测量的L2熟练程度,在学术成果中起着至关重要的作用.
- 大学可以利用HSK成绩作为潜在毕业生学术表现的早期指标.
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