危险的土石的故障风险分析基于元素故障概率
Pu Peng1, Ze Li2, Xiaoyan Zhang3
1College of Water Conservancy, Yunnan Agricultural University, Kunming, 650500, Yunnan, China.
Scientific reports
|October 22, 2025
概括
本研究提出了土岩的新故障风险分析方法,通过计算元素故障概率来提高安全评估. 这种方法简化了危险水的风险分析,改善了管理策略.
科学领域:
- 地质技术工程 地质技术工程
- 风险分析 风险分析
- 计算力学 计算力学 计算力学
背景情况:
- 危险的土岩对基础设施和人口构成重大风险.
- 准确的故障风险评估对于有效的水管理和安全至关重要.
- 现有的方法可能无法完全捕捉到水故障机制的复杂性.
研究的目的:
- 为危险的土岩引入一种新的故障风险分析方法.
- 开发一个模型,整合剪强度和水位随机性的空间变化.
- 简化故障风险的计算,以改善水安全管理.
主要方法:
- 有限元素离散技术的技术.
- 上限定理 上限定理
- 非高斯随机场理论的非高斯随机场理论.
- 随机编程理论 随机编程理论
- 蒙特卡罗模拟代 蒙特卡罗模拟代
主要成果:
- 使用元素速度和安全因子,准确确定土岩水的元素故障概率.
- 一个精简和简化的危险水故障风险分析流程.
- 通过对中国云南一座水的案例研究验证拟议的方法.
结论:
- 拟议的方法提供了一个准确和高效的方法,用于分析土岩故障风险.
- 这些发现为管理危险的土岩提供了理论基础.
- 这项研究提高了对关键地质技术结构的安全评估的可靠性.
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