在伊利诺伊州,儿童虐待报告的终身流行率和儿童保护服务的参与率
Hyunil Kim1, Yun Young Kim1, William Schneider1
1School of Social Work, University Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States of America.
Child abuse & neglect
|October 24, 2025
概括
重复记录会使儿童福利数据膨胀. 经调整后的估计显示,26.7%的伊利诺伊州儿童在18岁时面临儿童保护服务 (CPS) 报告,这凸显了黑人儿童的显著差异.
科学领域:
- 儿童福利研究儿童福利研究
- 公共卫生监督是对公共卫生的监督.
- 行政数据分析的分析.
背景情况:
- 行政记录经常包含重复的标识符,可能会扭曲流行率估计.
- 准确的儿童虐待和儿童保护服务 (CPS) 参与数据对于有效的政策和干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了提高儿童虐待报告和伊利诺伊州CPS参与度的累计患病率估计的准确性.
- 在行政儿童福利记录中识别和调整重复的个人标识符.
主要方法:
- 利用了伊利诺伊州儿童和家庭服务部的记录 (2003-2023年).
- 应用合成生命表方法来估计到18岁时的累积概率.
- 使用社会安全号码 (SSN) 识别重复记录,并根据人口统计和参与相似性对缺乏SSN的记录进行调整.
主要成果:
- 根据SSN调整后的估计,26.7%的伊利诺伊州儿童将在18岁时向CPS报告,远低于未调整后的50.0%.
- 调整后的终身患病率:13.0%用于证明,5.3%用于完整家庭服务 (IFS) 开放,3.6%用于寄养.
- 观察到实质性的种族差异:52.8%的黑人儿童预计接受CPS报告,而白人儿童的比例为22.3%,拉丁裔儿童的比例为22.2%.
结论:
- 重复的标识符可以大大膨胀CPS参与的估计.
- 即使是保守的,调整后的估计也显示了对CPS的高累积暴露,对黑人儿童的影响不成比例.
- 强调需要提高数据质量,并支持减少系统接触的努力,同时加强预防服务.
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