2022年的儿科整形医生劳动力:美国目前的劳动力,预测和趋势
Robert H Cho1,2, Benjamin W Sheffer3, Apurva S Shah4
1Los Angeles Pediatric Orthopaedics, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Journal of the Pediatric Orthopaedic Society of North America
|October 27, 2025
概括
儿科整形外科医生 (POS) 培训超过了当前的需求,估计每年有8.5名学员的余. 未来的预测表明,每年培训49名奖学员将满足需求,解决服务不足的地区.
科学领域:
- 医疗卫生工作人员分析
- 手术子专业的人口统计数据
- 医疗保健的获取和分配
背景情况:
- 准确的儿科整形外科医生 (POS) 劳动力预测对于平衡供需至关重要.
- 北美儿科整形学会 (POSNA) 成立了一个工作组,分析当前和未来的POS工作人员.
- 主要目标包括评估培训人数,地理分布,并将调查结果与先前分析进行比较.
研究的目的:
- 确定目前受过培训的儿科整形外科医生数量是否与国家需求保持一致.
- 评估POS的地理分布与当前和预计的患者需求相关.
- 将当前的劳动力数据与历史分析进行比较,并传播发现.
主要方法:
- 利用POSNA,SF Match,KID和MGMA数据库和调查来评估劳动力供应,需求和分配.
- 根据儿科人口增长趋势和实践POS的数量进行了预测.
- 分析了奖学金培训的数字,并通过旧金山比赛提供了职位.
主要成果:
- 波斯纳的会员数量从2014年的904人增加到2022年的1125人,平均每年培训57.5名学员.
- 据估计,每年培训的学员人数超过所需的8.5人,这有助于潜在的余.
- 尽管许多地区的整体需求得到满足,但仍然存在大量的"外科沙漠",使得人口服务不足.
结论:
- 目前的培训率可能会导致儿科整形外科医生 (POS) 的过剩,特别是在城市地区.
- 据估计,每年约有49名新的POS研究员预计将满足未来的需求,考虑到人口结构的变化和消耗.
- 持续监测趋势,包括分专业化和劳动力人口统计数据,对于未来的规划至关重要.
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