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对低碳技术企业的减排投资策略的研究

Jing Li¹, Tianchen Yang², Lihua Shi²

¹Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, China.

|October 27, 2025

概括

本研究介绍了一个模糊的选项模型,用于在企业脱碳化过程中实现最佳资本配置,在不确定性下加强投资决策. 它指导了可持续基础设施和减排技术的战略规划.

科学领域:

* 财务决策分析分析
* 环境经济学环境经济学
* 技术创新管理技术创新管理

背景情况:

*由于技术转型的不确定性,企业脱碳面临着重大资本配置挑战.
* 传统的估值方法,如净当前价值 (NPV),往往无法捕捉环境投资的管理灵活性.
* 减排系统需要强大的框架来应对实施风险.

研究的目的:

* 开发和验证决策分析框架,以实现企业脱碳的最佳资本配置.
* 纳入模糊设置参数,以管理减排系统中的不确定性.
* 评估拟议模型在可持续技术采用战略规划中的实际有效性.

主要方法:

* 基于真实选择理论的决策分析框架的开发.
* 整合模糊集参数以建模实施不确定性.
*与传统的NPV方法进行比较分析,并通过工业案例研究进行经验验证.

主要成果:

* 确定了关键干预因素和资本部署门之间的反相关性.
* 证明了改进的技术,法规,消费者反应和补贴有助于可持续投资.
* 模糊期权模型在评估灵活性和减轻偏差方面表现优于NPV.

结论:

* 模糊选项模型为脱碳化项目的管理灵活性提供了优越的估值.
*模块化实施策略通过适应能力提高价值.
* 该框架为环境技术采用中的风险评估和时间优化提供了可操作的见解.

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