住宅房屋能源消耗的增强预测模型:在中国的一个案例研究
Haining Tian1,2, Haji Endut Esmawee2, Ramele Ramli Rohaslinda2
1Research Center of Livable Construction of Human Settlements in Qinling-Daba Mountains, Shaanxi University of Technology, Hanzhong 723001, China.
Biomimetics (Basel, Switzerland)
|October 28, 2025
概括
本研究介绍了一种改进的生物灵感黑翼优化算法 (IBKA),与支持向量回归 (SVR) 集成,以准确预测中国农村家庭的能源消耗. IBKA-SVR模型显著提高了预测准确性,为优化建筑设计以实现可持续性提供了宝贵的工具.
科学领域:
- 建筑的能源效率 建筑的能源效率
- 计算智能是一种计算智能.
- 可持续的建筑 可持续的建筑
背景情况:
- 中国农村住宅建筑的高能耗源于热性能差和基础建筑.
- 这种低效率挑战了国家可持续性和"双碳"目标.
- 优化建筑设计对于降低能源需求至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个新的框架来预测和分析农村住宅建筑的能源消耗.
- 提高建筑性能分析优化算法的效率和准确性.
- 确定影响能源消耗的关键设计因素及其相互作用.
主要方法:
- 一个改进的生物灵感的黑翼优化算法 (IBKA) 被开发来增强融合和探索.
- 支持向量回归 (SVR) 与IBKA (IBKA-SVR) 集成,用于能源消耗预测.
- 一个正交的实验设计生成了一个数据集,并使用SHAP (SHapley添加式扩展) 进行解释性.
主要成果:
- 与标准的BKA相比,IBKA算法显示出更高的收精度和全球搜索性能.
- 与基线SVR相比,IBKA-SVR模型实现了高预测准确性,将关键错误指标减少了37-40%.
- SHAP分析确定了绝缘厚度 (外墙,屋顶) 和窗户墙壁比率作为主导因素,具有显著的非线性影响和相互作用效应.
结论:
- 该IBKA-SVR框架提供了一个强大的和准确的方法来预测农村住宅建筑的能源消耗.
- 绝缘厚度和窗与墙的比率是影响能源使用的关键设计元素.
- 这些发现支持数据驱动的建筑设计优化,以提高能源效率和可持续性.
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